模糊数学在地震预报和震源孕育模式研究中的应用

APPLICATIONS OF FUZZY MATHEMATICS TO EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION AND INVESTIGATION OF THE PREPARATORY MODEL OF EARTHQUAKE SOURCE

摘要:

模糊集的概念和方法是十多年前才提出来的,现在已在很多科学领域中得到了应用。
作者试图把模糊数学的知识引入地震预报。为此采用模糊语言对"正常"、"异常"作了初步探讨。初步确定了单项前兆异常和多项前兆异常的隶属函数。从方法上对编制预报程序作了大胆的设想。并以两个简单实例为样本作了内检,取得了一些初步结果。我们认为,采用模糊数学技巧具有诱人的前景。

Abstract:

The concept and method of fuzzy sets were proposed only more than ten years ago.And they have been used in many scientific fields nowadays.
The authors try to introduce the knowledge of fuzzy mathematics into earthquake prediction. Therefore, "normality" and "abnormality" are preliminarily explored by using fuzzy language. The membership functions of the single precursor abnormality and multiple precursor abnormality are preliminarily determined, the method of programming the earthquake prediction is boldly imagined and internally examined by using two simple cases as samples, and finally, some preliminary results are obtained. It is considered that the prospect for using the technique of fuzzy mathematics is captivating.