地震应急预案执行辅助系统研究

Execution Auxiliary System for Earthquake Contingency Plans

摘要:

地震应急预案执行辅助系统以数字化地震应急预案为基础，可加强地震应急信息共享，提高地震应急响应速度和改进地震应急指挥决策的合理性。本文介绍了地震应急预案执行辅助系统建设的总体工作思路和技术方案，从系统构建与业务流程、总体框架与功能设计到基于GIS技术的系统实现等方面进行了探讨，介绍了下一步工作展望与设想。

Abstract:

Earthquake contingency plans provide guidance for earthquake emergency response and play an important and practical role in earthquake emergency and rescue. However，earthquake contingency plans may have some shortcomings such as being difficult to display，inconvenient to search，and incapability of automatically correlating targeted disposal solution with the development and variety of earthquake disaster.The main reason for these shortcomings and challenges is because most earthquake contingency plans are in a non-digital text （i.e.，hard copy）form.Digitalization makes the formulation and implementation of an earthquake contingency plan more practical and allows for rapid visualization and computer-based interactive use.According to earthquake disaster disposal flow and real-time information，targeted and comprehensive disposal solutions can be formed.Execution auxiliary systems are a type of digitized earthquake contingency plan.When implemented in a platform that includes an execution auxiliary system，an earthquake contingency plan can play an important role in emergency information sharing and command decision-making.The construction of an execution auxiliary system for an earthquake emergency plan will significantly improve the capacity of earthquake emergency response and make for highly effective emergency disposal.The key technique of the system construction is the method of digitizing an earthquake contingency plan so that it can be integrated with related emergency technology systems.The digitization of an earthquake contingency plan means to transform the text and natural language that describes earthquake contingency plans into structured and logical forms that can be recognized and processed by a computer.In this process，earthquake contingency plans are transformed from static storage formats into digital storage formats.The digitization process for earthquake contingency plans mainly includes formal description and digital modeling，which are explained in this paper.The execution auxiliary system mainly includes the system business processes，the general design，the function design，the database construction and the interface design.This paper emphasizes the external interface design，which will allow for information sharing with related systems such as Earthquake Instant Messenger （EQIM） system and earthquake emergency command technology system. The execution auxiliary system implementation is GIS based and consists of five functional modules, including emergency management，preplan management，normal management，templates management，and system management.This paper mainly described the function of the emergency management module and demonstrated the application of the emergency management module using an example simulated earthquake. Further research will combine reasoning techniques in the AI Application with a practical application background. Adaptive adjustment of earthquake contingency plans will be made automatically according to specified rules defined within the system，combined with knowledge and experience of decision-makers and experts in this field.Thus，the reliability and availability of an execution auxiliary system for earthquake contingency plans will be greatly improved.