The earthquake damage prediction of pipeline has heavy proportion in the earthquake damage prediction of lifeline system, and the pipeline is the brittle unit of lifeline when earthquake occurs. The earthquake damage to water supply pipeline is affected by the seismic motion and the site liquefaction, material and diameter of the pipes etc. The methods of earthquake damage prediction of pipeline which based on experience statistics are more practicality. In this paper the methods which based on theories account and experience statistics are introduced and compared respectively, and a new prediction model for pipeline according to comprehensive probability is put forward finally.
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裴宗厂,刘尧兴,王晓青,刘鹏.埋地管道震害预测方法简述[J].地震工程学报,2005,27(2):186-189. PEI Zong-chang, LIU Yao-xing, WANG Xiao-qing, LIU Peng. Method of Earthquake Damage Prediction of Pipeline[J]. China Earthquake Engineering Journal,2005,27(2):186-189.