地震活动加速模型在西北地区的应用

APPLICATION OF SEISMICITY ACCELERATION MODEL IN NORTHWEST REGION OF CHINA

摘要:

对地震活动加速模型进行了更加深入的讨论,提出了一种该模型的时间-破裂方程的直接解法.应用地震活动加速模型对1970年以来发生在中国西北甘、宁、青、新、蒙五省(区)的中强地震进行了回顾性预测检验并进行了地震预测.

Abstract:

Deeper discussion on the seismicity acceleration model is made in this paper. A direct solution to the time-crack equation of the model is given. Using the model, the prediction tests for moderate-strong earthquakes occurred in Gansu, Ningxia, Qinghai, Xinjiang and Inner Monglia provinces and autonomous regions in north-west of China from 1970 are made and earthquake predication in future 1~3 years for this rigion is given.