晋冀蒙交界地区中强地震危险性的灰色拓扑预测

GREY PREDICTION FOR MODERATE AND STRONG EARTHQUAKE TREND OF THE JUNCTURE OF SHANXI,HEBEI AND INNER MONGOLIA

摘要:

应用灰色系统理论,建立了晋冀蒙交界地区的5级和6级以上地震的灰色预测模型.利用上述模型对该地区未来几年内中强地震的活动趋势进行了预测.

Abstract:

The dynamic model forecasting the origin time of earthquake is established by using the grey control system and choosing M_S5.0 seismic sequences as samples.The best model is chosen to forecast moderate and strong earthquakes of the juncture of Shanxi,Hebei and Inner Mongolia.Trend of strong earthquakes of the area is forecasted by using the models.