地震前动物异常行为的协同效应

SYNERGETIC EFFECT OF ABNORMAL BEHAVIOR OF ANIMALS BEFORE EARTHQUAKES

摘要:

本文研究了动物群体申乃至一个特定地区的整个生态系统中动物个体之间的相互作用,讨论了地震前动物异常行为的协同效应。在最简单的情况下,描述这种协同效应的方程具有生态学中的种群动力学方程的形式。作为这种协同效应的一个结果,地震前动物异常起数的平均值具有指数增长的形式,这与实际资料是相符的。用外界环境变化和动物群体对外界刺激反应两个因素作为控制参量的简单的非线性模型,可以定性地解释震前动物异常行为的复杂性。因此,在用动物异常进行临震预报时,必须考虑动物群体的作用及由协同效应导致的复杂性。

Abstract:

The synergetic effect of abnormal behavior of animals before earthquakes is discussed in this paper. The result of a simple model based on the interaction between animals can explain the statistical data. It was also pointed out that the system of animal colony reacts to the stimuli of environment in a nonlinear way, which leads to more complexity in the application of this phenomena in earthquake prediction