厄尔尼诺事件与地震

ELNIO AND EARTHQUAKE

摘要:

本文采用概率统计、回归分析及灰色关联度相关分析方法,全面地分析、研究了中国及世界范围内的多震区域的地震资料和乓尔尼诺事件的资料,发现厄尔尼诺事件与地震活动从大范围来看似无明显的相关关系,但与局部地区的地震活动明显相关。该事件的发生与东太平洋隆起地区、菲律宾群岛等地区的地震高频年相对应,与我国台湾地区、青藏高原等多震地区发生的地震也有较好的对应关系。

Abstract:

Based on the probability statistics, regression analysis and grey assoeiation analysis, the paper analysed and studied the Seismic data in the seismicity areas in China and the global, and the Elnio phenomena. The results show that there is no obvious correlative relation between earthquakes and Elnio over a large range, but there is a good correlative relation between earthquakes and Elnio in a limited area. For example, Elnio always occurs in a high seismicity years in the areas as the eastern Pacific upward district and Philippines. There also exists a good correspondent relation in Taiwan and Qing-Zang Plateau regions in China.