模式识别方法在地震综合预测研究中的应用

APPLYING THE PATTERN RECOGNITION FOR THE RESEARCH OF COMPREHENSIVE EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION

摘要:

本文阐述了模式识别方法的原理及其在综合地震预测中的实用性与可行性。文中以华北和西北地区为例,提取了中强地震前的前兆与地震活动异常特征,根据计算结果估计,未来两年内在西北甘青交界武威-西宁以西(37°-38°N,101°-102°E)范围内可能发生6级地震的预测意见。

Abstract:

In this paper, the principle of the pattern recognition and its practicability in comprehensive earthquake forecasting research has been discribed we take the North China area and North west area as examples to extract the precursory features of the moderate-strog earthquakes occurred in these two areas. According to the calculated results, we forecast that an earthquake with magnitude 6 will strike the boundary ares(37°-38°N101.-102°E)of Gansu and Qinghai provinces in two years.